From Tom Murphy Village of Mamroneck Trustee:

FIRST THOUGHTS.
*** Obama's Wider Map: About two months ago, we unveiled our early look
at the electoral map. And this being the second official day of the
general election, now's as good a time as any to see where we stand in
the McCain vs. Obama race.
Base Obama: CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, MD, MA, NY, RI, VT (153 electoral
votes)
Lean Obama: ME, NJ, MN, OR, WA (47 votes)
Toss-up: CO, FL, IA, MI, NV, NM, NH, OH, PA, VA, WI (138 votes)
Lean McCain: AR, GA, IN, LA, MS, MO, MT, NE, NC, ND (84 votes)
Base McCain: AL, AK, AZ, ID, KS, KY, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, WV, WY (116
votes)
While both McCain and Obama get to 200 when adding up their base and
lean states, it's clear to see that Obama has an early edge with the
map. Not only does he have a stronger base than McCain does (153 votes
vs. 116), but he also has more potential pick-up opportunities. When you
add toss-up and "Lean McCain," Obama has the potential for another 222
votes outside his favored states. By comparison, McCain's toss-up and
"Lean Obama" comes to 185. Of course, potential sometimes means just
that -- potential. At the end of the day, Obama will likely win few, if
any, of those Lean McCain states. But his reach right now seems much
longer than McCain's.
Tom Murphy